BTC price preserves $16.5K, but funding rates raise risk of new Bitcoin lows

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Bitcoin (BTC) staged a modest restoration on Dec. 29 as United States inventory markets rebounded in step.

BTC/USD 1-hour candle chart (Bitstamp). Supply: TradingView

$10,000 BTC value targets stick

Knowledge from Cointelegraph Markets Pro and TradingView confirmed BTC/USD recovering above $16,600 on the Wall Road open after wicking under the $16,500 for a second day.

The pair remained unappealing to merchants, a lot of whom feared a deeper retracement should still happen across the new 12 months.

In a list of potential “capitulation targets,” Crypto Tony doubled down on $10,000 and decrease for Bitcoin, whereas additionally revealing expectations for Ether (ETH) to dip as little as $300.

“Issues change fast, but when we hit these areas I start to ladder,” a part of accompanying commentary learn.

Daan Crypto Trades in the meantime put the present spot value on the bottom of an space which “should maintain” for BTC bulls to have a shot at upside.

BTC/USD annotated chart. Supply: Daan Cypto Trades/ Twitter

“Your complete market seems to be dangerous… Factor is that some altcoins look even worse,” Il Capo of Crypto continued, predicting forthcoming altcoin losses of as much as 90%.

The draw back thesis was supported by derivatives markets on the day, with funding charges optimistic whereas value motion did not rally.

“Layman phrases, Lengthy/Quick ratio is optimistic first time since Could, means extra Longs than Shorts now, OI and Funding is optimistic, means persons are betting on perpetual market BTC will pump, value construction seems to be dangerous and this may be simply one other native high right here and dump. Watch out!” in style commentator aQua summarized.

BTC/USD perpetual futures chart (Bybit) with lengthy/ brief ratio. Supply: aQua/ Twitter

A barely extra hopeful perspective got here from Blockware head analyst Joe Burnett, who argued {that a} painful interval in Bitcoin’s historical past was slowly coming to an finish.

“Everyone seems to be bearish, but Bitcoin continues to be buying and selling across the identical value it was in June ($17.5k),” he reasoned.

“The mining business has been decimated, and lots of the weak fingers (BTC and ASICs) have been purged. Quickly we are going to start one other gradual ascent.”

U.S. greenback power “desires to bounce”

Quick-term BTC value motion received a lift from U.S. equities on the day, with the S&P 500 up 1.4% and the Nasdaq Composite Index gaining 2.1% within the first hour’s buying and selling.

Associated: Bitcoin price would surge past $600K if ‘hardest asset’ matches gold

The U.S. greenback continued a broader consolidation after two straight days of good points for the U.S. greenback index (DXY).

Bitcoin swept the low / 16.5k, stuffed the FVG and put in a third drive with a number of H1 bullish divergences. It’s now or by no means for the bulls to take this again up,” entrepreneur Mark Cullen commented.

“Lose the 16.2k degree and the yearly low will likely be in menace & decrease + $DXY seems to be prefer it desires to bounce!”

U.S. greenback index (DXY) 1-day candle chart. Supply: TradingView

With simply two days till the weekly, month-to-month, quarterly and yearly shut, BTC/USD was down round 60% year-to-date, 3% for December and 14.2% in This autumn, knowledge from Coinglass confirmed.

BTC/USD month-to-month returns chart (sceenshot). Supply: Coinglass

The views, ideas and opinions expressed listed below are the authors’ alone and don’t essentially replicate or symbolize the views and opinions of Cointelegraph.